Kasikorn Research Center Forecasts Fed to Maintain Interest Rates Through Year-End

According to a report from the Kasikorn Research Center published on July 29, 2026, the U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its policy interest rate within the 3.50-3.75% range for the rest of the year. The center attributes this outlook to the fact that while inflation is showing signs of slowing, it remains at an elevated level that necessitates a cautious monetary approach.

Furthermore, the research center noted that the intensity of conflicts in the Middle East appears to have passed its peak, which contributes to a more stable global economic outlook. For residents and travelers in Thailand, this forecast is significant as U.S. interest rate policies often influence global currency markets and the strength of the Thai Baht. A stable interest rate environment in the U.S. may provide a degree of predictability for those managing cross-border finances or planning travel budgets involving the U.S. dollar.

While this analysis provides a professional outlook on the Federal Reserve's likely trajectory, it remains a projection. The actual decisions made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in upcoming meetings will be the definitive factor. Observers should continue to monitor official FOMC announcements to confirm whether these economic conditions persist as expected throughout the final months of 2026.